Two of Washington's most influential political prognosticators today placed Rep. Bart Stupak's Michigan House district in the "toss-up" column for the November midterm election, giving the GOP one more pickoff possibility for a district long held by Democrats.http://content.usatoday.com/communities/onpolitics/post/2010/04/rep-stupaks-departure-opens-new-door-for-gop-/1
The nonpartisan Cook Political Report and Rothenberg Political Report are both calling Michigan's 1st Congressional District a toss up race. The district includes all of Michigan's Upper Peninsula and the northern tip of the Lower Peninsula. Before Stupak announced his retirement today, Cook and Rothenberg hadn't listed the race as competitive.
Stupak, a moderate who is in his 9th term, won with 65% or more of the vote in 2008, 2006, 2004 and 2002. In 1996 he captured nearly 71% of the vote. But Stupak's abortion stance during the health care debate is no aberration -- his district also has leaned right, particularly on social issues.
In voting for the Obamacare bill, Stupak angered his most ardent supporters and energized his opponents.
You have to wonder which federal job Stupak was promised in return. We'll know soon.